90th Academy Awards – My Predictions and Thoughts

It’s that time of year again! The time where devoted cinephiles and Awards aficionadi collate their thoughts on which films and their respective filmmakers will receive awards for their effect on the cinematic world. Will Guillermo del Toro’s The Shape of Water sweep the board? Or is there a surprise on the horizon? We won’t know until the big night, but in the meantime, here are my predictions for the 90th Academy Awards.


THE MAJOR AWARDS

BEST PICTURE

This year’s category is perhaps the most competitive yet, with 9 films up for the Academy’s most prestigious award. Here are the nominees:

  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • The Shape of Water
  • The Post
  • Darkest Hour
  • Lady Bird
  • Phantom Thread
  • Call Me By Your Name
  • Get Out
  • Dunkirk

The Academy’s winner: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
My winner: The Shape of Water

Despite such a competitive line-up, it seems like a race to the finish between Martin McDonagh’s controversial yet hilarious Three Billboards and Guillermo del Toro’s magical The Shape of Water. Whilst I think the former will grasp the award due to its strong political message, I can’t help but favour the latter for my personal pick.

WHO WON: THE SHAPE OF WATER 

BEST DIRECTOR

The nominees for this category is perhaps the most diverse that we have ever seen from the Academy. But no Denis Villeneuve? Madness, I tell you! The nominees are:

  • Christopher Nolan; Dunkirk
  • Greta Gerwig; Lady Bird
  • Jordan Peele; Get Out
  • Guillermo del Toro; The Shape of Water
  • Paul Thomas Anderson; Phantom Thread

The Academy’s winner: Guillermo del Toro
My winner: Christopher Nolan

It seems obvious that del Toro will run-away with the Academy’s recognition (and deservedly so), I cherish the thought of Christopher Nolan being a sneaky surprise.

WHO WON: GUILLERMO DEL TORO 

LEADING ACTOR:

The nominees:

  • Timotheé Chamelet; Call Me By Your Name
  • Gary Oldman; Darkest Hour
  • Daniel Day-Lewis; Phantom Thread
  • Daniel Kaluuya; Get Out
  • Denzel Washington; Roman J. Israel, Esq. 

The Academy’s winner: Gary Oldman
My winner: Daniel Kaluuya

It seems obvious that Gary Oldman will finally get his Oscar this time ’round for his performance as Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour,  but how awesome would it be for British-born Daniel Kaluuya to snatch the award for his haunting performance in Jordan Peele’s excellent horror/comedy Get Out? Optimistic, I know.

WHO WON: GARY OLDMAN

LEADING ACTRESS:

Choosing from the following nominees is no easy task…

  • Sally Hawkins; The Shape of Water
  • Margot Robbie; I, Tonya
  • Frances McDormand; Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Saoirse Ronan; Lady Bird
  • Meryl Streep; The Post

The Academy’s winner: Frances McDormand
My winner: Sally Hawkins

Despite a competitive category once again, with some REALLY compelling performances to choose from, it seems as if McDormand and Hawkins will wrestle it out for the Leading Actress award. Whilst I predict that McDormand’s already impressive awards run will continue, I can’t help but favour Hawkins for her muted performance in The Shape of Water.

WHO WON: FRANCES MCDORMAND

SUPPORTING ACTOR:

There’s only one winner among these nominees, for me.

  • Willem Dafoe; The Florida Project
  • Woody Harrelson; Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Richard Jenkins; The Shape of Water
  • Sam Rockwell; Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Christopher Plummer; All the Money in the World

The Academy’s winner: Sam Rockwell
My winner: Sam Rockwell

Admittingly, I have yet to see Willem Dafoe in The Florida Project, but with that in mind, my money is on the favourite Sam Rockwell to walk away with Best Supporting Actor.

WHO WON: SAM ROCKWELL

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

The nominees:

  • Laurie Metcalf; Lady Bird
  • Allison Janney; I, Tonya
  • Leslie Manville; Phantom Thread
  • Mary J. Blige; Mudbound
  • Octavia Spencer; The Shape of Water

The Academy’s winner: Allison Janney
My winner: Laurie Metcalf

Allison Janney’s impressive awards run thus far is a shock for some, with many claiming that her performance as Tonya Harding’s loud-mouthed mother in I, Tonya was all-shout-no-substance, but I predict the Academy will follow suit in awarding her performance. Yet for me, it has to go to Laurie Metcalf’s stunning portrayal of a mother battling against motherhood and financial troubles in Greta Gerwig’s Lady Bird. Fingers crossed!

WHO WON: ALLISON JANNEY

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

The nominees:

  • Emily Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani; The Big Sick
  • Jordan Peele; Get Out
  • Greta Gerwig; Lady Bird
  • Guillermo del Toro & Vanessa Taylor; The Shape of Water
  • Martin McDonagh; Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

The Academy’s Winner: Jordan Peele; Get Out
My Winner: Greta Gerwig; Lady Bird

With Peele and Gerwig being the favourites, I predict that the Academy will favour Jordan Peele’s politically-infused racial satire over Gerwig’s organic coming-of-age story. Me? The opposite.

WHO WON: JORDAN PEELE; GET OUT

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

There are a couple of interesting picks this year…

  • James Mangold; Logan
  • Scott Neustadter; The Disaster Artist
  • James Ivory; Call Me By Your Name
  • Aaron Sorkin; Molly’s Game
  • Virgil Williams & Dee Rees; Mudbound

The Academy’s Winner: James Ivory; Call Me By Your Name
My Winner: James Ivory; Call Me By Your Name

For just the second time in my predictions, mine and the Academy’s tastes align. There’s no contest here. James Ivory is walking away with this one.

WHO WON: JAMES IVORY; CALL ME BY YOUR NAME

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

And the nominees are:

  • “Remember Me”; Coco
  • “Mystery of Love”; Call Me By Your Name
  • “This is Me”; The Greatest Showman
  • “Mighty River”; Mudbound
  • “Stand Up For Something”; Marshall

The Academy’s Winner: “This Is Me”; The Greatest Showman
My Winner: “Remember Me”; Coco

WHO WON: “REMEMBER ME”; COCO

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

The nominees:

  • Hans Zimmer; Dunkirk
  • Jonny Greenwood; Phantom Thread
  • John Williams; Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  • Alexandre Dusplat; The Shape of Water
  • Carter Burwell; Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

    The Academy’s Winner: Alexandre Dusplat; The Shape of Water
    My Winner: Alexandre Dusplat; The Shape of Water

WHO WON: ALEXANDRE DUSPLAT; THE SHAPE OF WATER

FOREIGN FILM

The nominees for Best Foreign Film:

  • A Fantastic Woman
  • The Square
  • Loveless
  • The Insult
  • On Body and Soul

The Academy’s Winner: Loveless

I sadly haven’t seen any of the picks for Best Foreign Films (blame UK distribution…), but I’ve seen a lot of love for Andrey Zvyagintsev’s Loveless.

WHO WON: A FANTASTIC WOMAN

ANIMATED FEATURE

There are some stinky picks in this year’s Best Animated Feature category…

  • Ferdinand
  • Coco
  • The Boss Baby
  • Loving Vincent
  • The Breadwinner

The Academy’s Winner: Coco
My Winner: Coco

It just has to be, surely?!

WHO WON: COCO

THE TECHNICAL AWARDS

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

  • Roger Deakins; Blade Runner 2049
  • Hoyte Van Hoytema; Dunkirk
  • Dan Laustsen; The Shape of Water
  • Rachel Morrison; Mudbound
  • Bruno Delbonnel; Darkest Hour

The Academy’s Winner: Roger Deakins; Blade Runner 2049
My Winner: Roger Deakins; Blade Runner 2049

And about damn time, too.

WHO WON: ROGER DEAKINS; BLADE RUNNER 2049

PRODUCTION DESIGN

  • Sarah Greenwood & Katie Spencer; Beauty and the Beast
  • Dennis Gassner & Alessandra Querzola; Blade Runner 2049
  • Paul D. Austerberry, Shane Vieau & Jeffrey A. Melvin; The Shape of Water
  • Sarah Greenwood & Katie Spencer; Darkest Hour
  • Nathan Crowley & Gary Fettis; Dunkirk

The Academy’s Winner: Blade Runner 2049
My Winner: Blade Runner 2049

WHO WON: PAUL D. AUSTERBERRY, SHANE VIEAU & JEFFREY A. MELVIN; THE SHAPE OF WATER

FILM EDITING

The nominees:

  • Paul Machliss & Jonathan Amos; Baby Driver
  • Lee Smith; Dunkirk
  • Tatiana S. Riegel; I, Tonya
  • Sidney Wolinsky; The Shape of Water
  • Jon Gregory; Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

The Academy’s Winner: Paul Machliss & Jonathan Amos; Baby Driver
My Winner: Paul Machliss & Jonathan Amos; Baby Driver

WHO WON: LEE SMITH; DUNKIRK

OUTSTANDING VISUAL EFFECTS

  • Blade Runner 2049
  • War for the Planet of the Apes
  • Guardians of the Galaxy 2
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  • Kong: Skull Island

The Academy’s Winner: Blade Runner 2049
My Winner: War for the Planet of the Apes

WHO WON: BLADE RUNNER 2049

SOUND EDITING

Here are the nominees for Best Sound Editing:

  • Baby Driver
  • Dunkirk
  • Blade Runner 2049
  • The Shape of Water
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi

The Academy’s Winner: Baby Driver
My Winner: Baby Driver

WHO WON: DUNKIRK

SOUND MIXING

  • Baby Driver
  • Blade Runner 2049
  • Dunkirk
  • The Shape of Water
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi

The Academy’s Winner: Baby Driver
My Winner: Dunkirk

WHO WON: DUNKIRK

COSTUME DESIGN

The nominees:

  • Jacqueline Durran; Darkest Hour
  • Jacqueline Durran; Beauty and the Beast
  • Mark Bridges; Phantom Thread
  • Luis Sequeira; The Shape of Water
  • Consolota Boyle; Victoria & Abdul

The Academy’s Winner: Luis Sequeira; The Shape of Water
My Winner: Luis Sequeira; The Shape of Water

WHO WON: MARK BRIDGES; PHANTOM THREAD

MAKEUP/HAIRSTYLING

No recognition for IT, sadly, but here are the nominees:

  • Victoria & Abdul
  • Darkest Hour
  • Wonder

The Academy’s Winner: Victoria & Abdul
My Winner: Wonder 

WHO WON: DARKEST HOUR

 

FINAL SCORE: 10/20


And there you have it: my predictions for this year’s Academy Awards (except the shorts since I haven’t gotten round to seeing them…) How do my predictions line up against yours? Let me know below!

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